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The Science Behind Conceivable

Fertility is a connected system.

Conceivable studies the subclinical signals that can stack together to make conception and pregnancy more or less likely, and separates what is established, associated, emerging, and still being tested.

Conceivable ScoreExample
+6since last cycle
Energy68
Temperatures74

Is Conceivable evidence based?

In part, and we say which part. Conceivable’s component signals, such as cycle length, training load and energy availability, draw on published reproductive-health research, linked beside each claim on this page. The five-domain framework and current Conceivable Score are our own organizing system, and they have not yet been independently validated as a pregnancy predictor.

Our 2014–2016 pilot was retrospective, single-arm and self-reported, so it cannot show that the program improves pregnancy rates.

Read the pilot methods, results and limitations →

Written by Kirsten KarchmerReviewed October 2026

01The bigger picture

One signal rarely tells the whole story.

People often arrive with “unexplained infertility,” the label used when standard testing finds no clear cause1. Yet their physiology may not look unexplained at all.

Small disadvantages can stack. Systems can reinforce one another. Patterns can emerge before disease.

That is a hypothesis we are testing, not an established finding.

Reproductive
robustness
Energy availabilityfuel in vs. output
Menstrual patterncycle length and flow
Metabolic healthinsulin and glucose
Recoverytraining load vs. rest
Stressnervous-system load
Sleepglucose and appetite

Each signal nudges the others.

Also in the systemOvulatory patternEnvironmental exposuresNutrition

02Reinforcing loops

Small signals can reinforce each other.

These are common patterns and Conceivable hypotheses, not a validated model.

Common pattern · Sleep

Poor sleepFatigueCaffeineWorse sleep

Experimental sleep loss lowers insulin sensitivity and raises hunger2. The caffeine step is a hypothesis.

Common pattern · Training

Difficult weight regulationHarder trainingLower recoveryMore fatigue

High training load without enough fuel can disturb ovulation and the luteal phase3,5. The loop itself is a hypothesis.

Common pattern · Stress

StressSleepAppetiteDigestionRecovery

Hypothesis: stress touches several of these at once.

Short or light bleeding, fatigue and a weak post-ovulatory temperature pattern together are a constellation worth investigating. No one of them is a diagnosis.

03Understanding the evidence

Normal, associated, or predictive?

Is it abnormal?

Outside a clinical range, may warrant evaluation.

Is it associated with outcomes?

Linked to outcomes in research, but not necessarily abnormal.

Does it predict outcomes?

Helps estimate future outcomes, requires stronger validation.

If your tests are normal

A normal workup can rule out important pathology. It cannot tell you how every part of the system is functioning together.

05How we grade evidence

How does Conceivable grade evidence?

Established Supported Emerging Clinical Conceivable Internal

Every claim is also labeled by role: medical, contextual, optimization, prognostic, or intervention.

See how we grade every claim →

07Key examples

What does the research say about periods, exercise, food and more?

What does your period tell you?

In 2,653 Danish women planning pregnancy, cycles under 25 days were associated with lower fecundability than 27–29 day cycles7.

Does hard exercise affect fertility?

Five or more hours a week of vigorous activity was associated with lower fecundability, but not among overweight or obese women8.

Is there a fertility diet?

No single fertility diet has been shown to work for everyone.

What can basal temperature tell you?

Physicians reading charts placed ovulation within a day of the hormonal peak in only about 22% of ovulatory cycles with adequate luteal phases6.

Browse the full Evidence Library →

08Research

What we’re actively studying.

None of these questions is settled.

See all research questions →

We’re studying this

Thermal phenotype

How temperature level, shift and stability relate to conception and pregnancy outcomes.

We’re studying this

High training load and low energy availability

How training load, recovery and energy availability influence cycles and fertility.

We’re studying this

Menstrual and clotting phenotype

Whether bleeding and clotting patterns add information inside a larger constellation.

We’re studying this

Cumulative constellation burden

Do patterns of modest signals predict time to pregnancy better than the single signals alone?

09Our own data · Conceivable internal

Our 2014–2016 pilot, in brief.

105 sub-fertile participants22 pregnancies self-reported, no control groupMedian stay of about five months

22 of 105 sub-fertile participants (21%) reported a pregnancy during the program. The pilot had no control group, and pregnancies were self-reported. It was retrospective and single-arm.

In 2026 we re-audited the raw data and retired several older claims.

Read the full pilot, including its limits →

Common questions

Frequently asked questions about Conceivable’s science.

Author and review. Written by Kirsten Karchmer, founder of Conceivable. Evidence checked against primary sources (AI-assisted review). Last reviewed: October 2026.

Revision history. October 2026: historical pilot re-audited; older pregnancy-uplift and Score-change claims retired.

Is Conceivable scientifically validated?
Conceivable's component signals draw on published reproductive-health evidence. The five-domain framework and current Conceivable Score have not yet been independently validated as a pregnancy predictor.
Does Conceivable diagnose infertility?
No. Conceivable is an educational, prioritization and tracking tool.
Can someone have normal fertility tests and still have subclinical reproductive-health issues?
Yes. Standard tests are designed to identify specific pathology, while research also finds variation in reproductive outcomes among people without overt disease. We don't treat associations as diagnoses.
Is the five-domain model medically established?
No. The domains are our own organizing system, and they group signals with different evidence bases.
Did Conceivable's pilot prove the program improves pregnancy rates?
No. The pilot was retrospective, single-arm and had no control group, so it cannot establish efficacy.

References

Every link opens the record on PubMed.

  1. 1American Society for Reproductive Medicine Practice Committee. Evidence-based treatments for couples with unexplained infertility: a guideline. Fertil Steril. 2020;113(2):305–322. PubMed 32106976
  2. 2Morselli L, Leproult R, Balbo M, Spiegel K. Role of sleep duration in the regulation of glucose metabolism and appetite. Best Pract Res Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2010;24(5):687–702. PubMed 21112019
  3. 3De Souza MJ, Toombs RJ, Scheid JL, et al. High prevalence of subtle and severe menstrual disturbances in exercising women: confirmation using daily hormone measures. Hum Reprod. 2010;25(2):491–503. PubMed 19945961
  4. 4Loucks AB, Thuma JR. Luteinizing hormone pulsatility is disrupted at a threshold of energy availability in regularly menstruating women. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2003;88(1):297–311. PubMed 12519869
  5. 5Williams NI, Leidy HJ, Hill BR, et al. Magnitude of daily energy deficit predicts frequency but not severity of menstrual disturbances associated with exercise and caloric restriction. Am J Physiol Endocrinol Metab. 2015;308(1):E29–E39. PubMed 25352438
  6. 6Bauman JE. Basal body temperature: unreliable method of ovulation detection. Fertil Steril. 1981;36(6):729–733. PubMed 7308516
  7. 7Wise LA, Mikkelsen EM, Rothman KJ, et al. A prospective cohort study of menstrual characteristics and time to pregnancy. Am J Epidemiol. 2011;174(6):701–709. PubMed 21719742
  8. 8Wise LA, Rothman KJ, Mikkelsen EM, et al. A prospective cohort study of physical activity and time to pregnancy. Fertil Steril. 2012;97(5):1136–1142. PubMed 22425198
  9. 9Fei C, McLaughlin JK, Lipworth L, Olsen J. Maternal levels of perfluorinated chemicals and subfecundity. Hum Reprod. 2009;24(5):1200–1205. PubMed 19176540
  10. 10Conforti A, Mascia M, Cioffi G, et al. Air pollution and female fertility: a systematic review of literature. Reprod Biol Endocrinol. 2018;16(1):117. PubMed 30594197

Conceivable is an educational, prioritization and tracking tool. It does not diagnose, treat or replace medical care.

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